Scientists and farmers light up to make it rain
Utah State University meteorologists visited a cloud seeding
site in Tremonton on Tuesday as a precursor to upcoming research proposals
assessing the impacts of weather modification. According to Binod Pokharel, a
USU climate scientist specializing in weather modification, Utah practices
cloud seeding for more land area than any other state, yet scientists still
struggle to quantify the impact of this weather modification.
Theoretically, cloud seeding is fairly simple; it works
through the introduction of small particles that create additional surfaces for
water molecules to condense on promoting increased precipitation during
appropriate weather events. Practically, scientists have a much harder time
assessing its impact.
“We know it occurs but quantifying our impact on snowfall
statistically is virtually impossible absent of a few specific case studies,” said
Jon Meyer, a climatologist at the Utah Climate Center.
Meyer views cloud seeding as an important part of the
equation for water management in Utah.
“The states canal system is extremely outdated and leads to
a lot of water loss but it’s a billion-dollar project to invest into,” Meyer
said. “We’re going to need all hands-on deck from all angles when it comes to
water conservation, especially when you think about the state’s population
doubling in 30 years.”
Pokharel and Meyer plan to improve local weather forecasts
and models to better manage seeding generators for use in optimal atmospheric
conditions. They also aim to bolster observational data on the efficiency and
practicality of cloud seeding which is currently hard to find.
Some of the few referenced case studies of successful cloud
seeding observations were carried out with the help of Pokharel in the Wyoming
Weather Modification Pilot Program. This study used advanced high-resolution
models to quantify precipitation enhancement form cloud seeding and resulted in
cases of 10 to 15 percent increases in precipitation attributed to cloud
seeding. However, Pokharel said, “in some cases we saw a really good seeding
signature, and in some cases we didn’t.”
Cache Valley farmer Charlie Holmgren is a 30-year volunteer for
a cloud seeding program in the region, operating a propane combusting cloud
seeding generator consisting of an external tank and 4-foot-tall burner — an
inconspicuous rig for weather modification.
“When we were starting the process, we hoped this is for the
benefit of Cache Valley,” Holmgren said as he struggled to get a lighter to
stay aflame in the wind. “I’m a huge water user and anything that lands east of
me is either going to benefit the Bear River or Bear lake.”
The location of Holmgren’s generator just west of the
Wasatch Mountains is crucial for the mixing of silver iodide particles into the
turbulent flow over the range.
“I’m going to get a haircut,” said Holmgren as he peered
into the burner, flicking the lighter next to the propane nozzle feeding fuel
into the generator.
“Everybody talks about the weather, but nobody does anything
about it,” Holmgren continued as he successfully lit the seeding generator
placed next to his suite of personal weather monitors.
Holmgren is committed to the cloud seeding project to
improve water availability not just for farmers but for ecosystems and
conservation. “I want to see more water get to the Great Salt Lake too,” Holmgren
said, but the recent droughts have been difficult for irrigated farmers like
him.
“There were periods of time when I liked a mild winter,” Holmgren
said, “but they’re all mild now.”
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